Big Brown’s demise - it’s no conspiracy
I’ve as much a right to be angry as anyone, having driven all that way to see the race and going on record a couple of places about how I thought BB would get the job done. But after the dust settles, most rational minds leave all the silly conspiracy theories and cheating plots behind and realize it was just a horse race that didn’t go the way just about everyone thought it would.
I’ve already heard the grumbling about how Big Brown’s trainer, Rick Dutrow, threw the race for some financial gain. This is because the odds of 1:4 made it impossible for him to cash again by a simple, large, win wager as he had done in the Derby and Preakness.
However, the notion that Dutrow would throw the race for his financial gain is dumb. It has two big problems.
For one, there is the question of how he would do it. I suppose there is physical or chemical tampering but that would be pretty easy to figure out, and it was not indicated for much of the race. The horse certainly seemed raring to go at first. Other than that, he would need a lot of co-conspirators like the jockey and the owners. I suppose Kent Desormeaux would be willing to give up a shot at riding a Triple Crown winner for a few bucks. Yeah, right. And even if he was able to get some conspirators to go along, how does throwing the race translate to financial gain? Can you play the don’ts in horseracing?
Next question would be why?
Dutrow may have a dirty past but that doesn’t make him stupid. How much money would it have to be worth to ditch a Triple Crown? Gimme a break. I know I’m applying my moral standards to Dutrow in saying this, but training a Triple Crown winner has no monetary equivalent. Further Dutrow would run the risk of being banned from racing, shunned by the sport, fined, and potentially serve jail time, while throwing away the chance to train the first Triple Crown winner in thirty years… just to cash in on some shady back-door transactions. Sorry. Not buying it.
As we headed out of the park, I heard the ever popular grumble… “NYRA fixed it… I hope they made a bundle off of all of us suckers…” Or something like that. Another dumb reaction. NYRA’s overall financial impact for what happened will undoubtedly be hugely negative over the long run. What to do with all those Big Brown tee shirts and ball caps left on the racks… and all the lost wagering in New York racing circuits if they were ever implicated in a cheating situation.
Here’s my theory… the horse lost the race fair and square.
I definitely blame Dutrow and Desormeaux for the loss, but it was not anything intentional. They just played it entirely wrong. The horse wanted to run and they made him go slow. Kent could have just cruised on the rail, but he tried to get him clear running room to the outside. A reasonable approach since it had been working previously, but it was not the right approach in the Belmont, given that the turns are so long and wide and luck (good or bad) had already handed them rail and that getting outside when he tried to get there was an awkward move. It looked like a battle of wills between Kent and Big Brown and a series of clunky moves for the first mile. BB was bothered and frustrated and maybe even confused by the time they hit the far turn. I think that, and maybe the heat, was enough for BB to say “the hell with it!”
This sort of thing happens at race tracks all across America every day. Jockeys go to post with a certain set of instructions, sitting atop the best horse in the race, but things go awry and no effort on the part of the jockey seems to correct it. The horse loses his mojo and it’s game over. It really happens all the time. It is just a shame that it happened to a potential champion on a day when the world was watching.
