Del Mar races 2-4-5-6-7-8-9
2 Del Mar
pp 1 Feeling Fabulous: First time starter has some decent work outs. I like Orientate as a sire and may use him underneath.
pp 2 Great Home: He shortens up but may not have the speed to out sprint these for the win on the poly-track.
pp 3 Learn The Sport: Adds blinkers and moves up in class. The blinkers could improve his speed and if he can stick close to the pace has a chance to hit the board and with a big effort to win.
pp 4 Temerity: Shortens up slightly and can use his speed to put these away early if he’s better in his second off the layoff. If the speed bias is still holding up he could be tough to beat
pp 5 Loyal Son: He makes the move to face winners but should be a step too slow to win.
pp 6 Greely's Ghost: He fell behind with each step in his first career start. I expect a little improvement today but not enough to win.
pp 7 Oceanor: He’ll need to make a big turn around in form to run well enough to factor among these.
$2.00 win bet 3-4
$1.00 exacta box 1-3-4
$1.00 trifecta wheel 3-4 / 1-3-4 / 1-3-4-7
4 Del Mar
pp 1 Singer Island: Moves up and stretches out but will have to beat out several other runners to hit the board.
pp 2 Halo's Law: Must develop more speed to be competitive for more then a bottom of the gimmick finish.
pp 3 Tizwhen: Could benefit if held off the pace a bit. This could have him running stronger in the late stages of the race. A smart ride from Nakatani should have him finish in the money.
pp 4 Oliver: He switches from turf to dirt after failing to keep pace in his debut. This trainer improves her runners nicely in their second starts. It’s still hard for me to use him in the trifecta.
pp 5 Party Hard: If he gets the lead he may prove touch to catch. Most of these don’t show enough late speed to gain enough ground on him. I believe this is his race to lose.
pp 6 Moneagle: Comes off the turf and if he adapts to the poly-track he could run well. He has to start getting out the gate better to enhance his chances
pp 7 Prevailing Wind: Can track pace setter in his first off the turf. I think he needs to get faster to figure versus these.
$2.00 win bet 5
$1.00 exacta 5 / 3-6
$1.00 exacta box 3-5-6
$1.00 trifecta wheel 5 / 3-6 / 3-4-6
$1.00 pick three 3-5-6 / 6-14 / 7-8
$1.00 daily double 3-5-6 / 6-14
5 Del Mar
pp 1 Stuttgart: She hasn’t raced since December but her speed figures rate with these. If she comes off the layoff ready to run could take advantage of the class drop and run big.
pp 2 Starstruck Kristen: She shouldn’t be fast enough to beat these and may have too much ground to make up.
pp 3 Kneeling's Pride: Drops to softer and toss her last race since she didn’t get the best start. She may get a touch of pace relief at this level and could stalk the pace to hit the board.
pp 4 Paddlin Mud: Did not get a favorable trip in her last versus tougher. If she can stick close to the pace she may have a slight chance to win. I prefer to use her underneath.
pp 5 Winky: Loses the hood and perhaps she lost whatever speed she may have had. She’ll need to find a way to get the job done now that she’s sans blinkers
pp 6 Threat: If she can use her early speed to stay near early leaders, she could out finish her rivals to win. Baze will need to give her a ground saving trip to raise her chances
pp 7 Saint's Crown: She drops into softer but lacks the speed to be considered a big threat to win. She can figure in the superfecta with her best.
pp 8 Snow On Christmas: Moves up in class but doesn’t appear to have the speed to run with these and I think she could even have trouble holding on for a trifecta finish.
pp 9 Oakhill Girl: She shortens up and has some decent splits in her races going longer. She gets a class drop and could surprise but she will have to find a way to keep running late.
pp 10 Kiss The Cooke: Drops down in her second off the 16 month layoff and can make a move forward. She’s undefeated at Del Mar but those wins came 3 years ago. I don’t think she wins but may figure in the superfecta
pp 11 No Cream Or Sugar: The pace could be too fast for her. If she tries to run with early leaders should fade off the board and she lacks the late speed to make up the ground to catch leaders late.
pp 12 Heavenly N' Free: She’s too slow to run with these.
pp 13 Ju Ju Baby: She’s rarely is able to keep up with pace setters and this hurts her chances to be a factor in this race.
ae14, Dine At Nine: If she gets the lead he could take these a long way but as they near the wire her stride could shorten. Hopefully she’ll be stronger in her second off the layoff and a little faster. If she is, she could win.
$2.00 WPS 14
$1.00 exacta 6-14 / 4-6-9
$1.00 exacta box 4-6-9-14
.10 cent superfecta wheel 6-14 / 4-6-9-14 / 1-3-4-6-9-14 / 1-3-4-6-7-8-9-10-14 cost $14.40
$1.00 daily double 6-14 / 7-8
$1.00 pick three 6-14 / 7-8 / 2-3
6 Del Mar
1, Onetimeatbandcamp: He tries the turf for the first time in over a year and is racing at a level he seems to fit. He must adapt to having grass under his feet.
2, Sagaponack: The pace in this one could be simply too fast. The lone sprint effort he was in at 6 furlongs he was never involved.
3, Doc On The Rock: He usually starts to tire about mid stretch and off the 5 month layoff little should change. There should be several stronger runners he’ll be facing that can keep him off the board.
4, Carman: He will need to be closer to the pace to win this one. He has some closing speed but will need his A-game to win
5, Shadow Of Illinois: Every time I use him he usually misses. But 2009 seems to have revitalized his career. He’ll try to be on or near the lead but may not fend off stronger closers. He gets some class relief and should factor in the money.
6, Gotthatfeeling: He shouldn’t be fast enough to run with these.
7, Premium Quality: Shortens up and will need to bump up his turf speed ever so slightly. Puglisi is back in the irons and rode him in his last two. If he can stick close to leaders could get the win.
8, Dance With Gable: Comes off a three month layoff and if his speed returns could be tough to run down.
$2.00 win 7-8
$1.00 exacta 7-8 / 4-5-7-8
$1.00 exacta box 4-5-7-8
$1.00 daily double 7-8 / 2-3
$1.00 pick three 7-8 / 2-3 / 5-9
$1.00 pick four 7-8 / 2-3 / 5-9
7 Del Mar
pp 1 Indy Ride: if he goes with the early pace could start to back pedal out of it as they enter the stretch. he'll need to benefit frm some speed duel from several other rivals to win. If he doesn't get that hes a trifecta runner at best
pp 2 Mr. Hot Stuff: Gets a ton of class relief following his series of races leading up to the Triple Crown races. He’ll have to be involved as well as starting his bid to win a little sooner.
pp 3 Blazing Spirit: He could get rolling and with his late speed and keep on running. His good late speed will win the race if he fires. I like his chances in this one.
pp 4 Canyon Drive: Comes off the layoff training sharply but has a little more distance to cover. He should be out finished for the win by more experienced routers but can finish in the trifecta with an honest effort.
pp 5 Fire Break: I think he’ll race just off the pace and try to capitalize on any mistakes by leaders. With a more experienced rider he’d have a better chance to win. I’m hesitant to use him on top but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him win.
pp 6 Capture The Call: This Golden Gate shipper should be out classed and out ran in this one.
pp 7 Laddies Poker: Moves off the turf and may regress running on the poly-track for the first time. He only has to beat a few runners to finish in the trifecta. He can win but may need leaders to give it up by mid stretch.
$2.00 win 2-3
$1.00 exacta 2-3 / 2-3-5-7
$1.00 exacta box 2-3-5-7
$1.00 daily double 2-3 / 5-9
$1.00 pick three 2-3 / 5-9 / 5-9
8 Del Mar
1, Well Deserved: She has to cover an extra ˝ furlong and usually tires going shorter. She may end up chasing fractions she can't handle. She needs to be rated and hope a softer pace is set or hope leaders give it up in mid stretch.
2, Go Ask Alex: Comes off the turf at Churchill to try her "hooves" on the poly-track She shouldn't be near the leaders as they go under the wire.
3, MissHeatherLee: She may be better served sitting just off the pace and hoping leaders pack it in. If leaders continue to run on she only good for minor rewards.
4, Camille C: She'll have to run her own race or risk dueling several rivals. Her last race indicates she may be a game runner but Flores rides and I'd prefer another rider but she can be used.
5, Laura's Pleasure: She makes a big step up in class and if she shows the speed of her last could run away from these. Baze must be mindful of the pace and adjust her speed to it. I like her chances but the potential for a bounce is good based on that last work.
6, Octogarian: Her race is dependant on the pace possibly set by 5, Laura's Pleasure and possibly 7, Southern Fireball. If she can show more as they hit the stretch should factor in the gimmicks at least.
7, Southern Fireball: Her chances to win aren't good but she can affect the early pace coming off the freshening and could pressure leaders into a tactical mistake. She may be going just a little longer then she may wants to go right now.
8, Washington Bridge: Unless she displays some never seen before speed, she'll trail this group from the start.
9, Necessary Evil: She may not have been asked for her best yet and if this is a true statement she could be a monster versus these. Rosario should have her firmly rated and keep rivals just off her then if she has anything let her go in the stretch. She's tough to ignore.
10, Mi Sueno: If she improves in her third life time start could pick up a win if others run themselves out of contention. She's had one good work out at Del Mar. A win can happen but she's more of a gimmick runner.
$2.00 win 5-9
$1.00 exacta 5-9 / 5-6-7-9
$1.00 exacta box 5-6-7-9
$1.00 daily double 5-9 / 5-9
.10 cent superfecta wheel 5-9 / 5-6-7-9 / 3-5-6-7-9-10 / 1-3-4-5-6-7-9-10
9 Del Mar
1, Donthaveatizzy: Working out well off the year layoff. As many times that I have been burned not using runners off layoffs of a year or more I still won't use him to win. But this group is soft enough that he can be used for the trifecta.
2, Giveitagomate: He may run well in his Del Mar debut. He's working out nice on this surface and shortens up off his last back in October 2008 on the turf at Golden gate. He could supply some value in this one.
3, Bert's Too Kinky: Bert's too slow.
4, Classical Bartok: He shortens up to a sprint but he hasn't show he can run that fast to win at this distance yet. I'd be a little surprised to see him win.
5, Born To Cus: Appears to have been rushed up after the bad start as Rosario is fully aware of the sprint bias of Del Mar. He died horribly in the stretch. If that race was a fluke he should be a contender in this one with the slower pace expected.
6, Wicked Mischief: This Distorted Humor starter could show some speed in his first start. The Mitchell Barn is doing well with its first time starters and while I don't think he can win I think he may run well enough to use in the trifecta.
7, Sven Diesel: Another first time starter that will be able to run longer distances soon. But I think this son of Harlan Holiday may be better on the grass. I'll use him in the superfecta.
8, Swingin Jim: If he doesn't get involved in the pace soon after the start could find himself left in the wake of others. He'll need these to come back to him but this field is full of bad runners and raises his chance to hit the board are good.
9, Fiery Rebel: Gets a big rider switch to Gomez who can get him involved late. There's not a lot to beat and if Gomez has him positioned well should be the one to beat.
10, Megillah: Off the four month layoff and will need to race mid pack and try to move past tiring runners by mid stretch. He should be fresh but his last work outs are just a touch under what I would like to see. He may need a race before he's in good form.
11, Hotsie: He last raced around Thanksgiving 2008. his training sessions look decent but this barn doesn't do well bringing runners off layoffs sharply. But this field isn't that strong so I think he can figure in the bottom of the gimmicks.
12, Warren's Deputy: His work outs don't look sharp enough to consider him anything more then a superfecta runner. His sire has a 50% win rate with his foals winning thier first starts (I couldnt find out how many of his foals have actually started)
13, Worlds Apart: His work outs are just as good as many of the others slated to start in this one. Saying that I can only use him in the superfecta is cost allows me that luxury.
14, De Brief Me: He'll need to show more speed to be involved with these atthe wire. if he gets in should finish off the leaders.
$2.00 win 5-9
$1.00 exacta 5-9 / 2-5-9
$1.00 exacta box 2-5-9
.10 cent superfecta wheel 5-9 / 2-5-9 / 1-2-5-6-8-9-11 / 1-2-5-6-7-8-9-11
Stoney Lad A best horse I ever owned. R.I.P. Big Horse
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