Tampa Bay-March 19 Races 7-8-9 pick Three
1, Friendly Election: She doesnt seem able to handle the turf well and its hard to see her running well today
2, Chicalelee: Drops to softer after experiencing traffic issues in her last. Just missed under Ceteno but may run well off the freshening. Morales will need to be paiteint and keep her clear of trouble to give her her best chance to win.
3, Frontier Franny: Came from way back and ran out of ground She should get the same pace scenario but will have to work harder to run down possible faster stretch runners. She can still figure in the trifecta with her best closing run
4, Sky Cup: Comes doiwn from Woodbine where she didnt run well She hasnt run well since she crossed the border and could struggle here.
5, Dixie Queen: She can help force the pace but could hear footsteps in deep stretch But her form is getting sharper and in her third off the layoff could make a looming gate to wire bid
6, A Wee Gift: She gets Centeno after racing poorly in her first start off the layoff under Homeister She'llneed to revert to her form early summer of 2009 to be a threat to these.
7, L D's Galaxy: She make a non threatening run for about the first half of this race then Martinez will have to get her started If she respond she will make a nice gain on these but could come up short if others run stronger in the stretch.
8, Hogan Beach: Drops down and has some late speed that can make her a contender. Lebron will have to find a clear lane to send her through to raiseher chances to factor. She may be less dependant on early pace then others entered in this race.
9, The Real Future: She should be too slow to run with this group.
10, Loving Roe Is Easy: Tries the turf for the first time and unless she has a big surprise hidden she shouldnt do much in this race.
ae11, French Social: If she draws in she will need the better runners to scratch out. Her speed figures dont rate well with these and she should finish off the leaders
ae12, Robin Des Concorde: Improved in her second off the layoff but the distance may have been too far for her. She may be btter off with the shorter distance she gets now and could have more left to make a stronger stretch run and provide a bigger boost to the gimmick payoffs.
ae13, Lil Carolina: Early pace setter could prove tough at this distance with her speed at this level. Strong speed figures means Mata doenst have to let her go :22 & :23 on the front end to have a chance to win this one. Sharp handling can give her the win.
ae14, Song Of Nora: Sprinter will have to strech out and run with veteran routers. I think she'll have a hard time with these.
$2.00 win bet 2-8-ae13
$1.00 exacta wheel 2-8-ae13 / 2-3-5-7-8-ae13
$1.00 exacta box 2-5-7-8
.50 cent trifecta 2-8-ae13 / 2-3-5-7-8-ae13 / 2-3-5-7-8-ae13
.10 cent superfecta wheel 2-8-ae13 / 2-3-5-7-8-ae13 / 1-2-3-5-7-8-ae13
$1.00 PICK THREE 2-8-AE13 / 8 / 2-3 cost varies with scratches
1, Emotinal Roar: Enters her first race with one decent work out. Her dam has been tossing winners but I dont think she will be adding to that stat for her dam today.
2, Dive De: Her training sessions seem to be going backwards. She's facing tougher and more experienced runners and I would be surprised to see her finish in the money.
3, Set Free To Fly: Hasnt done much in her first three races and she moves back to dirt where she has performed even poorer. She should have a tough time factoring.
4, Amarga: She adds Lasix and enters with some improving work outs This field is loaded with not so good runners and she has bottom of the gimmick chances.
5, Miracle For Tay: She has some decent work out times and in this field could run for the superfecta if she runs well.
6, I Knot: She has a ton of nice work outs but debuts for a low percentage barn. She could out perform enough runners to make a gimmick bid.
7, Three Cherries: Comes off a 5 month layoff and could be rusty and out of shape. The tiring Tampa surface may see her run badly but I will use my Delaware shiper angle with her. She has some decent training times and can be worth using underneath
8, Promise Me Diamonds: I beleieve this is her race to win and should only lose to unknown first time starters. A torouble free trip should see her cross under the wire first.
9, Speightstown Girl: She's working out very slowly and her daddys speed may not showup in her first race. If it does she could out run these slower runners and make a gimmick bid or more if 8, Pronise Me Diamonds decides not to run.
10, Miss Ann Perry: Shes workougn out well across the state at Palm Meadows and if she can move well over this quirky surface could press my predicted winner 8, Promise Me Diamonds for the win Daughter of Afleet Alex could show some speed and I think she is worthy of exacta consideration.
ae11, Even Classier: Her workouts dont excite me enough to use her for more then the superfecta. This field isnt strong after the my top pick and she may even have remote trifecta chances.
ae12, Californiasunshime: Limited work outs and comes from a low percentage barn and rider. She has to beat me.
$2.00 WPS 8
$1.00 exacta key 8 / 6-7-9-10 cost $4.00
$1.00 exacta wheel 7-9-10 / 8 cost $3.00
$1.00 trifecta wheel 8 / 7-10 / 6-7-9-10 cost $6.00
.10 superfecta wheel 8 / 7-10 / 1-3-4-6-7-9-10 / ALL cost $8.40
1, Gliding Missle: Lots of trouble in his last and with the drop in class and a cleaner trip he can make it into the superfecta.
2, High Aspirations He seems to have trouble making up ground on runners in front of him. There wont be much pace in front of him and that could help him more then others. Homiester returns and should have him looming for the win.
3, Jack's Roma: Could have trouble catching leaders in this race where the pace should be rather slow. He fits here but can't afford to be placed too far off the leaders. Allen will have to ask him for his all to win.
4, Harley's Heat: Kept 3, Jack's Roma at bay in their last to win by a neck but emerging from the pace he bothered some rivals and was placed in fouth. If Perez is thinking about that he could wait a second too long to make his move and not get to the line first.
5, Gracias Derenzo: Troubles in his last two and I'd be surprised to see him running well so soon after those two poor efforts.
6, Puma's Bluff: Tries the turf for the first time. I dont think he's a threat here but I'll watch him to see if he runs well and moves forward on the new surface.
7, Tiger Willie: Comes back to Tampa after a good/poor efforts at Gulfstream. He loses the advantage of Gulfstreams fast turf course and his speed figures are a cut below these but he may be able to make a gimmick bid with his best.
8, Woodman's Charm: Appeared to be way over matched in his last at Gulfstream. He just doesnt show the speed needed to be a big part of this and he can only be used in the superfecta.
9, Clever Wando: If he adapts to the turf he can make a superfecta bid but realistically his speed figures indicate he should miss that spot.
10 Slick Idea: Drops in class and switches to turf. If Galviz can rate him he has a chance for the trifecta at this level. He doesnt have much speed but if any of the veteran turf runners dont show up he can get into the gimmicks.
$2.00 WPS 2-3
$1.00 exacta key 2-3 / 2-3-4-8
$1.00 exacta box 2-3-4-8 cost $12.00
Stoney Lad A best horse I ever owned. R.I.P. Big Horse
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